Worse than Worst?

 

Past and current International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale for the Fukushima Dai Ichi disaster

Updated INES Level for Fukushima Dai Ichi

The increase to the inci­dent level at the Fukushima Dai Ichi nuclear plant today by the Japanese Nuclear Regulatory Authority has brought the con­tin­u­ing dis­as­ter at the crip­pled plant back into the head­lines. IEEE Spectrum has pub­lished a series of arti­cles recently writ­ten by Bill Sweet on the Fukushima Dai Ichi nuclear dis­as­ter. From the human per­spec­tive, this has been a ter­ri­ble dis­as­ter, although by some accounts not as bad as Chernobyl. I am not qual­i­fied to speak on the tech­ni­cal aspects of nuclear power, but from a risk assess­ment per­spec­tive, this dis­as­ter brings some inter­est­ing lessons. I explored some of these ideas in another arti­cle called “How Risk Assessment Fails”. If you want to learn more about the dis­as­ters, I encour­age you to check out Mr. Sweet’s articles:

 

You might also want to read the New York Times’ arti­cle “Japanese Workers Braved Radiation for a Temp Job”.

Much can be learned from the nuclear inci­dents and acci­dents at Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, and now Fukushima. As engi­neers and safety prac­ti­tion­ers we need to be acutely aware that bas­ing our assess­ments on sin­gle fault analy­sis, and the cor­re­spond­ing fail­ure to exam­ine the pos­si­bil­ity of com­mon cause fail­ures that can result in epic scale dis­as­ters like these is false secu­rity. You can­not hide from con­se­quences like these. We must begin to con­sider the ‘worse than worst’ sce­nar­ios that exist in our designs and in our work­places. We may not be deal­ing with risks on a national scale like those present in these facil­i­ties, but the con­se­quences to those we work with can be just as devastating.

+DougNix is Managing Director and Principal Consultant at Compliance InSight Consulting, Inc. (http://​www​.com​pli​an​cein​sight​.ca) in Kitchener, Ontario, and is Lead Author and Managing Editor of the Machinery Safety 101 blog.

Doug’s work includes teach­ing machin­ery risk assess­ment tech­niques pri­vately and through Conestoga College Institute of Technology and Advanced Learning in Kitchener, Ontario, as well as pro­vid­ing tech­ni­cal ser­vices and train­ing pro­grams to clients related to risk assess­ment, indus­trial machin­ery safety, safety-​​related con­trol sys­tem inte­gra­tion and reli­a­bil­ity, laser safety and reg­u­la­tory conformity.


4 Comments.

  1. Even though the Japanese insisted that the dam­age will be min­i­mal have no doubt we are look­ing at another Chernobyl. Even though they are the fore­most coun­try in the world deal­ing with dis­as­ters such as earth quakes and tsunamis this is absolutely cat­a­strophic for the entire area .

    • I agree. I believe that it will be decades before the prob­lems cre­ated by the fail­ures at Fukushima Dai Ichi could be con­sid­ered ade­quately con­tained. Like Chernobyl, I believe that the ocean sur­round­ing the east side of the plant and the area inside the 20 km exclu­sion zone will show the results of expo­sure for the fore­see­able future. Unlike Chernobyl, I believe that the Japanese will entomb the plant rel­a­tively quickly and will mon­i­tor the con­tain­ment effec­tively. Chernobyl’s reac­tor has yet to be con­tained because the Ukraine does not have the money to com­plete the work, and the inter­na­tional com­mu­nity has not made good on their com­mit­ments to fund the cleanup and containment.

  2. Clara Kreft - trackback on April 15, 2011 at 18:22
  3. Sicurezzaonline - trackback on April 13, 2011 at 15:58

Trackbacks and Pingbacks:

All original content on these pages is fingerprinted and certified by Digiprove
Performance Optimization WordPress Plugins by W3 EDGE